Sat, May 04, 2024

JPY: “BoJ’s Ueda: Flexibility Preferred Over Firm Policy Commitments”

The BoJ Ueda said Wage negotiations are very much impacted on Japanese Economy, In March Month Wage hike approval from Union is the Top of the scope in the changes of monetary policy settings. Now we wait for data dependent approach on changing the monetary policy settings. So we need some time for applying the wage hikes in the consumer spending and then raise for inflation in the economy, then we adjust the monetary policy settings, we do not expected over forecast of the economy day by day.

USDJPY is moving in box pattern and market has reached resistance area of the pattern

USDJPY is moving in box pattern and market has reached resistance area of the pattern

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda provided insights on Tuesday regarding the ongoing Japanese wage negotiations and their potential impact on the central bank’s policy decisions.

Ueda highlighted the significance of annual wage negotiations as a crucial factor in shaping the BoJ’s policy framework. These negotiations, he emphasized, have consistently held importance in the central bank’s consideration of economic variables when formulating policy strategies.

In determining policy directions, Ueda stressed the BoJ’s comprehensive approach, which encompasses not only wage negotiations but also a wide array of economic indicators. He noted that the decision to adjust policy in March was influenced by favorable outcomes in wage negotiations, coupled with robust performance across various sectors of the economy.

Japanese yen sends higher more against US Dollar

The governor emphasized the dynamic nature of policy formulation, indicating that the BoJ’s approach to wage negotiation outcomes may vary depending on prevailing economic conditions. He acknowledged the challenge of determining the optimal timing for policy adjustments, underscoring the importance of gathering sufficient data before making informed decisions.

Ueda emphasized the BoJ’s preference for flexibility in policy implementation, expressing a reluctance to overly commit to specific policy stances. This approach allows the central bank the necessary leeway for adjustments as economic conditions evolve.

Overall, Ueda reiterated the BoJ’s commitment to its price stability mandate, highlighting the reliance on trends in inflation and a data-dependent approach in shaping future policy initiatives.

JPY: “BoJ Governor Ueda: Rate Hike Tied to Inflation Trend”

The BoJ Ueda said Wage negotiations are very much impacted on Japanese Economy, In March Month Wage hike approval from Union is the Top of the scope in the changes of monetary policy settings. Now we wait for data dependent approach on changing the monetary policy settings. So we need some time for applying the wage hikes in the consumer spending and then raise for inflation in the economy, then we adjust the monetary policy settings, we do not expected over forecast of the economy day by day.

GBPJPY is moving in box pattern and market has rebounded from the support area of the pattern

GBPJPY is moving in box pattern and market has rebounded from the support area of the pattern

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda emphasized on Tuesday that the central bank remains committed to raising interest rates should trend inflation show signs of accelerating towards its targeted 2%. This commitment aligns with the BoJ’s projections and forecasts.

Ueda clarified that any shifts in the BoJ’s price forecasts would serve as key determinants for adjusting monetary policy. However, he emphasized that the timing and pace of rate hikes are not predetermined, indicating a data-driven and flexible approach.

Regarding the current monetary policy stance, Ueda stressed the necessity of maintaining ultra-loose monetary measures for the foreseeable future. This stance is warranted as trend inflation, gauged by various domestic demand indicators, continues to hover “somewhat below 2%”.

Japan Data printed at 0.2 Y Y versus 0.1 in May month

Ueda’s statements precede the upcoming two-day policy meeting of the BOJ, scheduled to conclude on Friday. It is anticipated that the board will maintain the status quo on interest rates and unveil updated quarterly growth and inflation forecasts.

Sources familiar with the matter have suggested to Reuters that the BOJ is likely to project inflation to hover around the 2% target over the next three years. Such projections would reinforce expectations that the central bank will indeed proceed with interest rate hikes later this year, departing from the current near-zero levels.

JPY: “BOJ Holds Rates, Watchful for Yen Support Signals”

The BoJ Ueda said Wage negotiations are very much impacted on Japanese Economy, In March Month Wage hike approval from Union is the Top of the scope in the changes of monetary policy settings. Now we wait for data dependent approach on changing the monetary policy settings. So we need some time for applying the wage hikes in the consumer spending and then raise for inflation in the economy, then we adjust the monetary policy settings, we do not expected over forecast of the economy day by day.

CADJPY has broken box pattern in upside

CADJPY has broken box pattern in upside

Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed the Bank of Japan’s stance to consider increasing its benchmark interest rate if underlying inflation trends upward toward the targeted 2%. His comments were crafted delicately to prevent exacerbating yen depreciation following the currency’s recent plunge to a 34-year low against the dollar.

Ueda stressed the BoJ’s commitment to adjusting monetary easing in response to inflation nearing the 2% mark, signaling a potential hike in short-term interest rates. However, he underscored that the timing and magnitude of such adjustments are not predetermined, emphasizing a flexible approach.

By refraining from emphasizing the BoJ’s current accommodative financial conditions assessment, Ueda avoided further weakening of the yen ahead of an upcoming policy meeting where maintaining the status quo is widely anticipated. Despite expectations of no policy changes on Friday, analysts are keen to glean insights into future directions, with many projecting potential moves by October.

Risk factors in Bank of Japan

Ueda’s emphasis on the significance of the inflation outlook is expected to draw increased attention to the BoJ’s quarterly economic report, scheduled for release alongside the policy statement. He noted that alterations in price forecasts and assessments of inflation risks could influence policy decisions.

Following the recent conclusion of the BoJ’s massive monetary easing program and its assertion that the inflation target is within reach, the bank is anticipated to revise its inflation projections upward this week. Factors contributing to this reassessment include rising oil prices and historically strong outcomes from annual wage negotiations between unions and companies. Previous reports from January indicated a “generally balanced” outlook regarding inflation risks.


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